Pre-tourney Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#132
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#155
Pace64.2#299
Improvement+1.1#140

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#153
First Shot+2.3#107
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#285
Layup/Dunks-1.0#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#65
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-3.5#314

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot+0.4#163
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#55
Layups/Dunks+2.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#100
Freethrows+1.3#77
Improvement+4.6#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 33.0 - 7.04.0 - 12.0
Quad 415.0 - 1.019.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 96-73 87%     1 - 0 +13.3 +6.7 +4.2
  Nov 10, 2018 56   @ Murray St. L 54-73 21%     1 - 1 -7.9 -10.9 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2018 68   Toledo W 84-74 41%     2 - 1 +14.8 +5.4 +8.4
  Nov 17, 2018 189   North Florida W 89-72 75%     3 - 1 +12.4 +12.7 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2018 42   Penn St. L 59-77 22%     3 - 2 -7.2 -3.9 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2018 110   SMU L 76-77 43%     3 - 3 +3.2 +11.2 -8.1
  Dec 01, 2018 202   @ Indiana St. L 63-69 59%     3 - 4 -5.8 -2.0 -4.5
  Dec 05, 2018 152   Miami (OH) L 62-65 66%     3 - 5 -4.8 +0.8 -6.3
  Dec 08, 2018 141   @ Kent St. L 76-83 42%     3 - 6 -2.4 +8.3 -11.2
  Dec 18, 2018 262   Morehead St. W 78-67 85%     4 - 6 +2.3 +0.9 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2018 20   Mississippi St. L 63-67 13%     4 - 7 +10.9 +6.2 +4.0
  Dec 28, 2018 208   Illinois-Chicago L 72-75 OT 78%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -8.4 -7.9 -0.2
  Dec 30, 2018 207   IUPUI W 72-64 78%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +2.6 +1.2 +2.0
  Jan 03, 2019 255   @ Detroit Mercy L 58-79 69%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -23.7 -18.5 -5.8
  Jan 05, 2019 187   @ Oakland W 89-73 55%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +17.2 +12.7 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2019 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-68 34%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +2.7 -2.1 +4.6
  Jan 17, 2019 266   @ Youngstown St. W 80-74 72%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +2.6 +5.1 -2.3
  Jan 19, 2019 289   @ Cleveland St. W 89-66 75%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +18.5 +17.7 +2.2
  Jan 24, 2019 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 56-54 89%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -8.8 -16.2 +7.7
  Jan 26, 2019 218   Green Bay W 87-75 79%     10 - 10 6 - 3 +6.1 +11.2 -5.1
  Feb 01, 2019 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 53-67 59%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -13.9 -16.2 +1.8
  Feb 03, 2019 207   @ IUPUI W 79-74 59%     11 - 11 7 - 4 +5.1 +3.0 +2.0
  Feb 07, 2019 187   Oakland W 76-62 74%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +9.7 -3.9 +13.2
  Feb 09, 2019 255   Detroit Mercy W 83-60 84%     13 - 11 9 - 4 +14.7 +1.8 +12.8
  Feb 15, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky W 81-77 55%     14 - 11 10 - 4 +5.2 +9.3 -4.1
  Feb 21, 2019 289   Cleveland St. W 87-61 88%     15 - 11 11 - 4 +16.0 +14.4 +3.6
  Feb 23, 2019 266   Youngstown St. W 82-54 86%     16 - 11 12 - 4 +19.1 +6.7 +14.1
  Feb 28, 2019 218   @ Green Bay L 67-70 61%     16 - 12 12 - 5 -3.4 -7.6 +4.2
  Mar 02, 2019 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 65-62 77%     17 - 12 13 - 5 -2.2 -2.9 +1.1
  Mar 05, 2019 207   IUPUI W 71-56 78%     18 - 12 +9.6 -4.0 +13.8
  Mar 11, 2019 218   Green Bay W 66-54 71%     19 - 12 +8.8 -3.8 +13.6
  Mar 12, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky L 66-77 45%     19 - 13 -7.0 -2.7 -4.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%